Ensemble configuration: Defines membership and horizontal/vertical
resolution of members, such that different models and/or different
configurations of the same model can be included.
Options slated
for testing:
- 2011 version of NCEP/EMC Short Range Ensemble Forecast
Initial perturbations: Provides the ability to represent uncertainty in initial conditions based on a variety of techniques.
Options under testing:
- Cycling of Initial and Lateral Boundary Conditions
Model perturbations: Provides the ability to represent model-related uncertainty based on a variety of techniques.
Options slated for testing:
- Multi-model
- Multi-physics
- Stochastic perturbations
Statistical post-processing: Provides ability to specify techniques
for fusing information from ensemble and high resolution control
forecasts, climatology, and other sources such as the latest set
of observations; Bias correct/calibrate forecast distribution;
Statistically downscale information to user relevant variables.
Options
under testing:
- Bias-correction
- Baysian post-processing approach
Product generation: Provides ability to specify technique for deriving information from the ensemble, generating probabilistic products, providing decision support services, etc.
Options under testing:
- Probability Matching Method
- Neighborhood Probability Method
Verification: Provides the ability to specify techniques to be used to evaluate ensemble and derived probabilistic forecasts
Options under testing
- Spatial verification of ensembles
