• The probability of detection and false alarm rate of RI events are 28.7% and 43.0% for HWRF forecasts.

RI Contingency tables

• The ABDEL distribution shows that the hits (green boxes) have little bias. However, the false alarms (red) and missed events (orange) are off by around 20 kt at the early lead times.


Click for larger image.

• The POD and FAR of RW events are 37.7% and 38.4%, respectively.

RW Contingency tables