RIRW Verification

RIRW Verification Executive Summary
• Overall, HWRF had difficulty representing RI, resulting in a high occurrence of misses and false alarms.
• HWRF demonstrated a tendency to underestimate intensity change when a RI occured. The same was true for COAMPS-TC and NHC official forecasts.
• Results revealed all models had more skill for prediction of RW events than of RI events.
• HWRF performs better for RI events in the WP basin than in the AL and EP basins.
• The HWRF model performs better for RI for the 2015 pre-implementation (H215) forecasts than the 2014 forecasts (HWRF-14).
• A full report of the study is available.